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Lordy, the lack of strength in depth really is rather frightening when you see all the names on the page. Anyway, James Milner is a big mover, Theo Walcott plays his way out and no. 23 is a punt...
1 - Wayne Rooney (1) Okay, 15 of his 19 Premier League goals have come against relegation-threatened opposition, but England's hopes still rest firmly at the very white and we suspect freckled feet of one of the few England regulars in any kind of form.
2 - Ashley Cole (3) When the alternative is Wayne Bridge, we are very thankful indeed that Mr Tweedy is in probably the best form of his life. That control and finish against Sunderland was Bergkamp-esque, and we don't say that lightly or indeed without gagging a little.
3 - John Terry (4) Looking at a list of depressing alternatives to the England captain is enough to turn even his most vehement detractors into reluctant fans. Quiely gone about his business for Chelsea this season, and we desperately need him to do the same in South Africa.
4 - Frank Lampard (6) There's been little that's been spectacular about Lampard this season, but Chelsea's formation is no longer designed to create space for Lampard to arrive unmarked at the edge of the box. He's been decent and disciplined for the Blues - exactly what is expected of him for England in the slightly withdrawn role he occupies under Fabio Capello.
5 - Steven Gerrard (2) It's been a long time since Gerrard has been outside the top three in this ladder, but it's been a long time since Gerrard was quite this poor. We still see him starting, but he should be taking a very tremulous look over his shoulder at the approaching James Milner.
6 - James Milner (22) Ah, here he is - the English success story of the season. Whether Milner will start the opening game of the 2010 World Cup is in question, but a combination of startlingly good form and versatility means he is an absolute shoo-in for the squad.
7 - Emile Heskey (5) Now starting regularly for Aston Villa, he's even scored four goals in his last 12 games for the club, which is a very decent goalscoring record for a supposed non-goalscoring striker. Anyone still want to argue that Michael Owen should go instead?
8 - Rio Ferdinand (7) From an English point of view, thank f*** he's back.
9 - Gareth Barry (8) Ever-so-slightly disappointing for Manchester City this season, but the failure of Owen Hargreaves to get out any further than the training-ground means that he's still favourite to make a slightly-effete 2 with Lampard in Fabio's 4-2-3-1.
10 - Glen Johnson (9) There are (and probably always will be) doubts about Johnson's defensive nous but his cavalier style will reap rewards againt the tournament's weaker opposition. And he has to be a better option than Wes Brown...
11 - Aaron Lennon (20) Nine assists in 18 Premier League games tells you everything you need to know about Lennon's improved delivery. If he's in his best form and his spindly little legs are in good working order, he will start for England on the right wing in SA.
12 - David Beckham (11) Ignore all the nonsense in the newspapers - if he's fit and playing in Milan, Beckham will go to the World Cup. There's no fight with Lennon et al for a place on the right wing, he's already there as the one man in the category entitled 'Calm Cameo'.
13 - Jermain Defoe (13) Three English goalscorers top the Premier League scoring charts (when was the last time we could claim that?) but unfortunately for Darren Bent, Defoe is the one with the electric pace, ridiculously quick feet and a shot far more powerful than his build would suggest.
14 - David James (10) We still believe James will be England's number one in South Africa if he can prove he can play two games within a week. We know Joe Hart is playing really very well indeed, but will Capello place all his major tournament trust in the hands of a keeper who will have played just a handful of games for England? Unlikely. It's James' place to lose if he can get himself (and keep himself) fit.
15 - Joe Hart (33) He might not see competitive action in SA, but we suspect he will be there as James' long-term natural successor after a phenomenal season at Birmingham. People feared for his future after Shay Given's arrival at City, but it may well have been the making of a man and a goalkeeper.
16 - Wes Brown (14) Has been quite frankly embarrassed in recent weeks but Fabio has always picked Brown when he's been fit as decent if not exactly awe-inspiring cover across the back four and we can't see that changing any time soon. By the by, he's now 30, which just seems a bit mental really.
17 - Owen Hargreaves (12) We're resisting pushing him completely out of the predicted 23-man squad because we have all our fingers, toes and other extremities crossed that he's fit for June. It's starting to look ever-more unlikely but we're optimistic sorts. Not optimistic enough to think that Michael Carrick should play any part in the World Cup campaign, mind.
18 - Matthew Upson (16) That he is England's third-choice centre-half is both baffling and a source of some considerable worry.
19 - Peter Crouch (18) Like us, you probably thought he was doing better than his four goals in 22 league games for Spurs this season, but that poor record aside, he is likely to be on the plane to SA if they can find a jet with enough leg room.
20 - Robert Green (17) England's No 3, England England's No 3.
21 - Joleon Lescott (21) Just about hanging on but it's difficult to make a convincing case for a defender who has looked burdened by his price tag this season. But if anybody can coax out the form that made him an England squad regular, a pair of Italians can.
22 - Stewart Downing (31) Non-Villa fans will be saying 'Stewart Downing? What the f***? What about Joe Cole?' but Villa fans will be nodding as they have been pleasantly surprised with Downing since his return to fitness. We already knew Fabio was a fan long before he started playing for a potentially top-six side.
23 - Tom Huddlestone (48) Slightly left-field, we grant you, but we can see Fabio taking Huddlestone (he's picked him before) to boost a midfield that lacks physicality. And one thing Huddlestone isn't lacking is physicality. It's got to be better than taking Wayne Bridge, hasn't it?
24 - Wayne Bridge (23) With Lescott, Hargreaves and Milner in the squad, does Fabio really need a reserve left-back? Especially one as deeply average as Wayne Bridge? It might make you feel dirty, but we must all join in prayer that Ashley Cole remains fit.
25 - Joe Cole (24) We all wanted him to come back and be brilliant. Instead he came back, sometimes plays and usually looks okay. Not good enough in World Cup year, fella.
26 - Theo Walcott (15) Here standeth a man who has played himself out of contention. Doesn't that hat-trick v Croatia seem an awful long way away now?
27 - Roger Johnson (NE) We would have given you 100/1 that Roger Johnson would be anywhere near the England squad this time last year, but against all the odds he has been phenomenal for Birmingham this season. On this form he deserves a call-up ahead of Gary Cahill in Fabio's next squad.
28 - Michael Carrick (26) We've been predicting all along that Carrick will eventually miss the cut, but he will make a fairly big leap up this ladder when we finally accept that Hargreaves will not be going to SA. We're just not ready to let go yet...
29 - Paul Robinson (29) Probably still (just about) in the reckoning.
30 - Shaun Wright-Phillips (25) Poor decisions, poor delivery, poor chance of reaching the World Cup with Lennon, Milner and Beckham already on the plane.
THE REST
31 - Gary Cahill (28)
32 - Darren Bent (38)
33 - Ben Foster (19)
34 - Carlton Cole (27)
35 - Ashley Young (30)
36 - Stephen Warnock (RE)
37 - Lee Bowyer (NE)
38 - Scott Dann (NE)
39 - Lee Cattermole (34)
40 - Michael Owen (35)
41 - Micah Richards (41)
42 - Gaby Agbonlahor (36)
43 - Leighton Baines (32)
44 - Phil Jagielka (37)
45 - Jermaine Jenas (43)
46 - Ryan Shawcross (40)
47 - Scott Parker (RE)
48 - Bobby Zamora (NE)
49 - Ledley King (39)
50 - Phil Neville (50)
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